Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Fed stands pat as outlook deteriorates

Fed stands pat as outlook deteriorates

@CNNMoney August 1, 2012: 2:26 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The Federal Reserve decided to stick to its current policies Wednesday, but indicated the outlook for the United States economy is deteriorating.
Since Fed policymakers last met six weeks ago, data has shown the recovery slowed and hiring remained tepid. The economy grew at a paltry 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter, and employers added just 80,000 jobs in June.
The central bank said that economic activity "decelerated" in its policy statement released Wednesday afternoon and reiterated its former guidance, forecasting it is likely to hold interest rates near "exceptionally low levels" at least through late 2014.
Meanwhile, the Fed will also continue its current policy known as Operation Twist. That program swaps short-term bonds for ones with longer durations, in an effort to lower long-term interest rates on mortgages to business loans.
The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates near zero since December 2008, as a way to free up credit following the financial crisis.
To push rates even lower, the central bank has also purchased more than $2 trillion in assets in two rounds of so-called quantitative easing.
While no additional actions were announced Wednesday, the Fed said that it is prepared to do more to boost the economy if needed.
"The Committee will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments and will provide additional accommodation as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery" the statement said.
Similar pledges recently made by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke have led investors to speculate about whether a third round of quantitative easing -- or QE3 -- is coming soon. After no such stimulus was announced Wednesday, stocks fell in afternoon trading.
Economists caution that any further Fed action is likely to have only a minor effect at this point. But the Fed could decide the risk of doing nothing is even more worrisome, especially given challenges including the looming fiscal cliff and Europe's debt crisis.
"Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook," the Fed statement said.
The Fed's next meeting is scheduled for September, at which point the central bank will have more information on the economy, showing whether weakness persisted throughout the summer.
In late August, Bernanke will also give a high-profile speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., where he could offer up more hints of the Fed's next move. To top of page

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